Title Foreign exchange forecasting models: ARIMA and LSTM comparison
Authors García, Fernando ; Guijarro, Francisco ; Oliver, Javier ; Tamošiūnienė, Rima
DOI 10.3390/engproc2023039081
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Is Part of Engineering proceedings: ITISE 2023 : The 9th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting, Gran Canaria, Spain, 12–14 July 2023.. Basel : MDPI. 2023, vol. 39, iss. 1, art. no. 81, p. 1-7.. eISSN 2673-4591
Keywords [eng] ARIMA ; LSTM ; foreign exchange prediction
Abstract [eng] The prediction of currency prices is important for investors with foreign currency assets, both for speculation and for hedging the exchange rate risk. Classical time series models such as ARIMA models were relevant until the advent of neural networks. In particular, recurrent neural networks such as long short-term memory (LSTM) are show to be a good alternative model for the prediction of short-term stock prices. In this paper, we present a comparison between the ARIMA model and LSTM neural network. A hybrid model that combines the two models is also presented. In addition, the effectiveness of this model on Bitcoin’s future contract is analysed.
Published Basel : MDPI
Type Journal article
Language English
Publication date 2023
CC license CC license description